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Options Strategy
The Butterfly Spread
A cheap, defined-risk bet that price lands on a specific number. High reward, low probability — a pinpoint trade.
NoVo Options Trading · 2026
A butterfly spread combines three strikes: you buy one option below, sell two at a middle strike, and buy one above — all the same type and expiration. The result is a cheap, defined-risk position that pays off best if price lands right at the middle strike at expiration.
The payoff shape
The profit profile looks like a tent: maximum gain if price finishes exactly at the middle strike, tapering to zero (and a small capped loss) as price moves away in either direction. Because you sell two options against the two you buy, the net cost is low — so a small outlay can produce a large payoff if your target is hit.
High reward, low probability
The catch is precision. Butterflies pay handsomely only in a narrow zone around the target strike, and price rarely lands exactly where you want. The reward-to-risk looks spectacular, but the probability of the max payoff is low. It's a lottery-ticket-shaped bet with defined risk — attractive odds only if you have a genuine reason to expect a specific level (like a pinning strike into expiration).
A butterfly offers a big payoff for a small cost — because it's betting on a bullseye, not a barn door.
Where it fits
Butterflies suit a high-conviction view that price will gravitate to (and pin near) a specific strike — the kind of setup gamma pinning can create around big open-interest strikes into expiration. They're a precision instrument: cheap, defined-risk, and usually worthless unless the target is nailed. Know you're paying for a pinpoint outcome.
More on this: The Broken-Wing Butterfly, Explained
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NoVo is a software tool for market analysis and for executing trades you initiate, not financial advice. This article is general education, not investment advice. Options trading involves substantial risk of loss, up to and including your entire capital. NoVo makes no guarantee of profit, win rate, or performance, and past results do not predict future outcomes. You are responsible for your own broker account, configuration, and trading decisions.